Background Summary
• One study showed the DTP Vaccine was associated with increased death rate of children in Guinea-Bissau.


• A WHO Population Council rebuttal claimed 4 vaccines including DTP were associated with increased survival rates.


• The rebuttal study was conducted in an district where child mortality had been very high. Before various health initiatives were made, approximately one child in four died before age 5 years.


• The study area was characterized by poverty, malnutrition, unclean drinking water, illiteracy and malaria. These conditions have a long history of association with high child mortality rates.

Associations: Temporal and Causal

The wearing of bowler hats is associated with better health.

The use of cow manure on gardens is associated with healthier vegetables.

The use of vaccines (injectable waste material) has been associated with lower mortality. The use of vaccines has also been associated with higher mortality and multiple modern as well as ancient diseases.

Which of these associations are simply temporal, that is events occurring at the same time but without a causal connection and which associations are casually related?

The wearing of bowler hats is not a cause of better health. However, in England, bowler hats were popular in higher society where the advantages of better socio-economic conditions prevailed, such as less strenuous jobs (mine owners not mine workers) and better year around diet that led to better health. Thus the association of bowler hats to health is a correct temporal association but not a causal association.

The use of manure (animal waste) on gardens nourishes the soil and thus the use of manure actually causes healthier vegetables. This is a casual association.

The use of vaccines (injectable waste material) has occurred along side vast improvements in sanitation and nutrition as well as hygiene, better ventilated housing and many other environmental changes. Separating the individual effects of each lifestyle change can be quite challenging, however it is well documented that sanitation and nutrition are the major factors in lowering childhood mortality and controlling infectious diseases.

Our central question is:
Are vaccines associated with lower mortality only as a temporal association, such as the wearing of bowler hats is temporally associated with better health, or is there an actual causal relationship, similar to putting manure on gardens?

This question can be answered with scientific trials, but vaccine proponents are highly reluctant to engage in such tests. Much information to answer this question can be gained from reading a true history of vaccines, as well as comparing the health of vaccinated to non-vaccinated individuals. However, that study is outside the scope of this web page. Please see our Home Page

To understand why we can say that a published pro-vaccine rebuttal to vaccine harm did not follow standard scientific procedures, let us start with an analogy.

Associating Poisons with Declines in Mortality
An Analogy

Once upon a time an experimenter entered an area where a large number of children died before their fifth birthday. The experimenter determined that the mortality rate could be cut in half if most of the children drank a mixture of several raw vegetables made into juice and combined with small amounts of several poisons. The growers of each vegetable claimed that their vegetable was the most important one in preventing children's deaths. The manufacturers of each poison associated their poison with the 50% decline in mortality and claimed their poison was essential to the survival of children everywhere.

However, the day came when another scientist found that one of the poisons actually contributed to child mortality and suggested that the overall benefit of the vegetable drink would be improved by leaving that poison out.

However, none of the vegetable growers and none of the poison manufacturers would fund scientific tests to prove the relative value of each ingredient of the drink so its individual contribution to saving children's lives could be calculated.

Thus the drink continued to be distributed with all its poisons included because it could be shown that the poisons were "associated with the decline in mortality," even though no causal relationship to mortality decline for any of the poisons was ever proven.

---

In our analogy above,
the more juice given - The more lives were saved.

Is it also true,
that the more "poison" given, the more lives were saved? ? ?

Could the poison be left out of the "juice" and save even more lives?

That question will be examined below.

• As mentioned in the opening lines above, in the year 2000, a study was published that showed a higher mortality rate [more deaths] among children in Guinea-Bissau, 1990-96, who received DTP vaccine. The data for this study was republished in 2005 by the British Medical Journal. ⁽¹⁾


• The above study was followed by a World Health Organization (WHO) sponsored rebuttal using data collected on children in Northern Ghana⁽²⁾ that claimed each vaccine given (BCG, DTP, polio and measles) "was associated with lower mortality" in children under 5 years.
• The Guinea-Bissau study that showed more deaths in the vaccinated is not the first crack in the armor of the vaccine industry. Previously, about 1970, Dr. Archie Kalokerinos⁽³⁾ found that severely malnourished children frequently died immediately after vaccination. [more]
• On the other end of the socio-economic scale, from 1975 to 1980, Japan raised it's age for vaccination from five months to two years and saved many infants' and young children's lives. During that time period, infant mortality rank for Japan rose from number 17 to number one, the best in the world. [more]

The WHO sponsored Population Council study,
Immunization Status and Child Survival in Rural Ghana
is a retrospective study of the data collected as follows:⁽²⁾

Children born in the Kassena-Nankana District (KND) of the Upper East Region (north) of Ghana between 1 October 1994 and 31 December 1999.

The study sample population was 17,701 children of which 13,452 were vaccinated and 4,249 (24%) unvaccinated.

Records of an additional 6300 children were not used in the study.

The "vaccinated" had an uncorrected estimated average Under 5 Mortality Rate (U5MR) of 125 per 1000 live births.

The "non vaccinated" sample had an uncorrected estimated U5MR of 246 per 1000 live births.

As we will see below, "vaccinated" and "non vaccinated" are extremely inaccurate and misleading choices of labels if one is honestly striving for scientific facts.

"Unvaccinated"                              = 246 %
Partial series of BCG/polio/DPT             = 147 * %
Full series of BCG/polio/DPT                = 105 * % #
Partial series of BCG/polio/DPT and measles = 105 * % #
All vaccinations                            =  95 * % #
* Totals do not include an estimate for vaccine caused deaths.
% Totals do not include an estimate for deaths in the vaccinated
   classified as unvaccinated.
# No correction for self-selective healthy bias was made.

"No or little Juice" = 246 lives lost per 1000 born:

"Some Juice" = 147 lives lost per 1000 born:

"More Juice" = 105 lives lost per 1000 born:

"Abundant Juice" = 95 lives lost per 1000 born:

Major Biases

• The only intervention for which data was given was vaccinations.
• A true "unvaccinated" baseline was not published.
• Deaths in the first 3 months of life were not published.
• Deaths of vaccinated children were sometimes listed as unvaccinated.
• Healthy self selective bias for continuing vaccination after the first in a series of vaccinations is ignored.
Bias1  |   Interventions  |   Bias2  |   Bias3  |   Bias4  |   Bias5  |   Conclusions

A list of interventions into the lifestyle of families in the KND area during the study period includes sanitation, nutrition, hygiene, education and medical treatment including vaccinations.

This list of lifestyle changes can be expanded as follows:


• Exclusive breastfeeding increased from 5% to 35% in the study period,
• Insecticide Treated Nets (ITN) to combat malaria,
• iron and folic acid supplements for pregnant women,
• Vitamin A supplement for mothers of newborn babies.
• Vitamin A supplements for children.
• Prenatal and post natal care (basic midwifery),
• antibiotic therapy and,
• family health, nutrition and hygiene practices were taught.
• Provision of curative services for acute respiratory infections, malaria and other ailments,
• improved access to basic health services,
• de-worming,
• Oral Rehydration Therapy,
• other home care for diarrhoea,
• and of course, vaccinations for BCG, Polio, DTP and Measles.

Note: The number of Insecticide Treated Nets was low and stable during the study period. Many other educational and medical based interventions increased in the study period due to the posting of community nurses. Of interest is the fact that Measles vaccination coverage declined during this period of improving mortality.

If most of the interventions in the long list above contribute to a decline in child mortality, then one or more of the interventions could actually be harmful and still the total effect of all interventions would be to lower childhood mortality.

Children who received:


• Zero Nutritional/Educational/Medical/Hygiene interventions experienced very high mortality.


• Minimal Nutritional/Educational/Medical/Hygiene interventions experienced medium high mortality.


• Most Nutritional/Educational/Medical/Hygiene interventions experienced low to medium mortality.


• All Nutritional/Educational/Medical/Hygiene interventions experienced low mortality, relative to the general socio-economic conditions of the district.

A good background for vaccination studies in developing countries is the story of Dr. Archie Kalokerinos in Australia about 1970. In Dr Kalokerinos experience with children living with marginal nutrition, an intensive vaccination campaign doubled the mortality rate and in one area caused the death rate to go up to 500 per 1000 children, thus the title of the book, "Every Second Child".⁽³⁾

While it is understandable that many children who are malnourished will have severe reactions and even die from vaccination, children on the opposite end of the economic scale also benefit from not being vaccinated. Progress in Japan in lowering the infant death rate came nearly to a halt between 1970 and 1973. Less vaccinations in 1974 and 1975 were associated with a decline in infant deaths. From 1975 to 1980 in Japan vaccination was preformed only on children over 24 months of age and Japan's infant mortality continued to decline very rapidly. See: http://www.vaclib.org/basic/japanusa.htm

http://www.idrc.ca/en/ev-43032-201-1-DO_TOPIC.html
Chapter 22. NAVRONGO DSS, GHANA
The field data collection and processing are mainly supported by funds from the Rockefeller Foundation, with technical assistance from the Population Council. Data are used to compile reports for the Ghana Ministry of Health, which is the major consumer of the Navrongo DSS data.

http://www.newswithviews.com/Cuddy/dennis84.htm
31) December 1980---Archbishop Peter Proeku Dery of Ghana reveals that "the World Bank denied loans to Ghana until my country agreed to institute a nationwide contraception and family planning policy. There was also pressure to legalize abortion, although the Church and the people have so far been able to prevent this. For how long, I don't know. The World Bank's attitude shows a total disregard for the beliefs of the people of the Third World." Some years later, Kofi Annan of Ghana will receive the approval of the power elite to become U.N. Secretary-General, and he will do nothing to stop the slaughter of hundreds of thousands of Rwandans.

http://www.thinktwice.com/birthcon.htm
The Anti-Fertility Gang
Allied with the WHO in the development of an anti-fertility vaccine (AFV) using hCG with tetanus and other carriers have been UNFPA, the UN Development Programme (UNDP), the World Bank, the Population Council, the Rockefeller Foundation, the All India Institute of Medical Sciences, and a number of universities, including Uppsala, Helsinki, and Ohio State.(5) The U.S. National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (part of NIH) was the supplier of the hCG hormone in some of the AFV experiments.(6)

The WHO begain its "Special Programme" in human reproduction in 1972, and by 1993 had spent more than $356 million on "reproductive health" research.(7) It is this "Programme" which has pioneered the development of the abortificant vaccine. Over $90 million of this Programme's funds were contributed by Sweden; Great Britain donated more than $52 million, while Norway, Denmark and Germany kicked in for $41 million , $27 million, and $12 million, respectively. The U.S., thanks to the cut-off of such funding during the Reagan-Bush administrations, has contributed "only" $5.7 million, including a new payment in 1993 by the Clinton administration of $2.5 million. Other major contibutors to the WHO Programme include UNFPA, $61 million; the World Bank, $15.5 million; the Rockefeller Foundation, $2.5 million; the Ford Foundation, over $1 million; and the IDRC (International Research and Development Centre of Canada), $716.5 thousand.